In 755 AD, the An Lushan Rebellion erupted, shattering the splendor of the prosperous Tang Dynasty overnight. Yet this catastrophe unexpectedly gave rise to one of the most important fiscal reforms in Chinese history: the Two-Tax System (Liang Shui Fa). The shift from "taxing by person" to "taxing by land" may appear to be a mere technical adjustment, but it profoundly altered Chinese farmers' fertility decisions, ultimately pushing the Song Dynasty population past the 100-million mark and surpassing the peak of the prosperous Tang. How does tax system design influence demographic behavior? An institutional economics perspective reveals a hidden dimension of history.

I. The Shackles of the Poll Tax: The Predicament of the Zu-Yong-Diao System

1.1 The Basic Structure of the Zu-Yong-Diao System

The "Zu-Yong-Diao" (Rent-Service-Tribute) system implemented in the early Tang Dynasty was a tax framework built upon the Equal-Field System (Jun Tian Zhi). Each adult male (aged 21 to 59) was allocated a certain amount of land and, in return, bore corresponding tax obligations:[1]

  • Zu (Rent): Each adult male paid two shi of millet per year (approximately 120 jin), serving as land rent
  • Yong (Service): Each adult male served twenty days of corvee labor per year, or paid silk or cloth in lieu (hence the term "commuted labor")
  • Diao (Tribute): Each adult male paid two zhang of silk and three liang of cotton, or two zhang five chi of cloth and three jin of hemp annually

The core characteristic of this system was that it was "person-based" -- tax obligations were primarily calculated by population (adult males), not by land area. This meant that every additional son born would eventually mean an additional share of tax.

1.2 The Suppressive Effect of the Poll Tax on Fertility

From an economic perspective, the poll tax was essentially a tax on "reproduction." Each child (especially boys) represented not only the cost of upbringing but also a lifetime tax burden upon reaching adulthood. Rational farming families would weigh the trade-offs: could the labor benefit of additional children offset the cost of additional taxes?[2]

In an era of abundant land (such as the early Tang), more children meant more land allocation, and the benefits might have outweighed the costs. But as the population grew and land became scarce, the Equal-Field System gradually collapsed. Farmers could no longer obtain sufficient land, yet the poll tax burden persisted. At this point, having more children became a pure liability.

Historical demographers speculate that this was one of the reasons for the slowdown in population growth during the mid-to-late Tang Dynasty. The population peak of the prosperous Tang (during the Tianbao era, around 755 AD) was approximately 52 to 54 million households (roughly 50 to 60 million people), after which it stagnated or even declined for an extended period.[3]

II. The Two-Tax System: A Revolution from "Taxing People" to "Taxing Land"

2.1 The Background of Yang Yan's Reform

After the An Lushan Rebellion (755-763), the Tang Dynasty's fiscal system was in complete disarray. The Equal-Field System existed in name only; vast tracts of land had been seized by powerful landlords; the household registration system was in chaos; and many farmers had fled to become "fugitive households" or "guest households," neither paying taxes nor performing labor service. State finances were on the brink of bankruptcy.[4]

In the first year of the Jianzhong era (780 AD), Chancellor Yang Yan proposed a comprehensive tax reform to Emperor Dezong of Tang, implementing the "Two-Tax System" (Liang Shui Fa). This was a milestone in Chinese fiscal history.

2.2 Core Principles of the Two-Tax System

The fundamental principle of the Two-Tax System was: "Expenditures determine revenue; households are not distinguished as native or guest, but registered by current residence; persons are not classified by adult status, but taxed according to wealth."[5] Specifically:

  • Shift in the tax base: From taxing by "head count" to taxing by "assets" (primarily land)
  • Simplification of tax categories: Consolidating the complex rent, service, tribute, and miscellaneous taxes into a unified tax collected in two installments -- summer and autumn
  • Residence-based principle: No longer distinguishing between "native households" and "guest households" -- taxes were paid wherever one resided
  • Progressive taxation: Tax amounts determined by the extent of one's assets, rather than a flat poll tax

2.3 The Liberating Effect on Fertility Behavior

The core transformation of the Two-Tax System was that having children no longer directly increased the tax burden. Tax liability was primarily determined by how much land one owned, not by how many mouths the household had. This fundamentally altered farmers' fertility incentives:

"Under the old system, each male was granted one hundred mu of land and required to pay rent, service, and tribute. Under the new system, land need not be granted, and taxes are levied solely on land. When a child is born, there is no longer the burden of additional taxes; hence households multiply." -- Observation by later historians[6]

Of course, the Two-Tax System did not entirely abolish the poll tax. In practice, the household tax (calculated per household) coexisted with the land tax (calculated per mu of land), but the proportion of the poll tax was greatly reduced. This "partial liberation" was sufficient to alter farmers' fertility decisions.

III. The Explosive Population Growth of the Song Dynasty

3.1 From Fifty Million to One Hundred Million

The Two-Tax System continued through the late Tang and the Five Dynasties period, and was further refined after the founding of the Song Dynasty. The Song tax system placed even greater emphasis on the land tax (tian fu), and while the poll tax (shen ding qian) still existed, it carried relatively little weight and varied in enforcement across regions.[7]

Under this fiscal environment, the Song Dynasty experienced unprecedented population growth. According to estimates by historical demographers:[8]

  • Early Northern Song (960s): approximately 30 to 40 million people
  • Mid Northern Song (1080s): approximately 80 to 90 million people
  • Late Northern Song (1100s): surpassing 100 million, possibly reaching 110 to 120 million

This was the first time in Chinese history that the population exceeded 100 million, making it the most populous country in the world at the time. By comparison, the estimated population of the prosperous Tang during the Tianbao era was 50 to 60 million -- the Song Dynasty population nearly doubled.

3.2 Other Contributing Factors

Of course, Song Dynasty population growth cannot be attributed solely to tax reform. Other important factors include:

  • Agricultural technological advances: The introduction of Champa rice, improvements in irrigation infrastructure, and the spread of double-cropping systems
  • Commercial economic development: Urbanization, handicraft industries, and overseas trade provided more employment opportunities
  • Relative political stability: Although the Song was militarily weak, it experienced relatively few large-scale internal upheavals
  • Climatic factors: The early Song coincided with the "Medieval Warm Period," which was favorable for agricultural production

Nevertheless, tax reform represented a fundamental institutional transformation that provided a sustained incentive structure for population growth. Without this institutional foundation, the effects of other factors would have been significantly diminished.

IV. The Fish Scale Registers: The Pinnacle of Land Surveying Technology

4.1 From the Two-Tax System to the Single Whip Reform

The Two-Tax System established the principle of "land-based taxation," but to truly implement "taxing by land," a technical challenge had to be overcome: how to accurately measure the land area of each household.

Land registration during the Tang and Song Dynasties was relatively crude, often relying on self-reporting or estimates, which led to widespread tax evasion and inequity. By the Ming Dynasty, Zhang Juzheng implemented the "Single Whip Reform" (Yi Tiao Bian Fa, 1581), which consolidated various taxes and corvee into a single payment in silver, further strengthening the dominance of the land tax.[9]

The effective implementation of the Single Whip Reform depended on precise land surveys. This gave birth to the most sophisticated land registration system in Chinese history -- the Fish Scale Registers (Yu Lin Tu Ce).

4.2 Structure and Function of the Fish Scale Registers

The Fish Scale Registers were so named because of the appearance of their drawings: the shape of each parcel of land was sketched, and the resulting patterns resembled fish scales. They were comprehensive documents combining maps and registration ledgers, containing the following information:[10]

  • Geographic location: The orientation and four boundaries (neighboring parcels to the east, west, south, and north) of each plot
  • Area: Precisely recorded in units of mu, fen, and li
  • Land category: Classification as paddy field, dry land, forested hills, residential plot, etc.
  • Owner: The name of the landowner
  • Tax amount: The land tax payable for that particular parcel

Compiling the Fish Scale Registers required large-scale field surveys -- officials led teams of surveyors ("bowmen") to measure each field, draw maps, and record the data in the registers. This was a monumental administrative undertaking, reflecting the state's capacity to penetrate grassroots society.

4.3 Technological Progress and Institutional Effects

The widespread adoption of the Fish Scale Registers marked the pinnacle of land management technology in pre-modern Chinese society. It produced several important institutional effects:

  • Reducing tax evasion: Land area was verifiable and difficult to conceal
  • Curbing land annexation: Land transactions required changes in registration, facilitating government oversight
  • Protecting property rights: Farmers could assert their land rights based on the registers
  • Facilitating transactions: Clear property rights promoted the development of land markets

Japanese scholar Miyazaki Ichisada observed that the Fish Scale Register system is key to understanding the socioeconomic dynamics of the Ming and Qing periods. It was not merely a tax collection tool but a manifestation of state governance capacity.[11]

V. Ding-into-Mu: The Final Completion of the Tax Revolution

5.1 Emperor Kangxi's Decree: "Newly Born Persons Shall Never Bear Additional Tax"

Although the Two-Tax System and the Single Whip Reform greatly reduced the proportion of the poll tax, the ding tax (levied per person) had not entirely disappeared. It was not until the Qing Dynasty that this tax revolution reached its final chapter.

In the 51st year of Emperor Kangxi's reign (1712), the Emperor decreed that "newly born persons shall never bear additional tax" -- fixing the ding tax at the amount recorded in the 50th year of Kangxi's reign, with no increase for any subsequent population growth.[12] This effectively proclaimed: henceforth, having children would not increase one's tax burden in any way.

5.2 Emperor Yongzheng's Ding-into-Mu Reform

Emperor Yongzheng went a step further by implementing "Ding-into-Mu" (Tan Ding Ru Mu) -- fully merging the ding tax into the land tax, collected according to land area. This marked the formal end of China's more than two-thousand-year-old poll tax tradition.[13]

The effects of Ding-into-Mu were immediate and dramatic. China's population grew from approximately 150 million at the end of Emperor Kangxi's reign to roughly 300 million by the end of Emperor Qianlong's reign, reaching 400 million during the Daoguang era.[14] Of course, as noted earlier, the introduction of New World crops such as the sweet potato was also an important factor, but the tax reform provided the institutional foundation.

VI. Insights from Institutional Economics

6.1 The Power of Incentive Structures

From the Two-Tax System to Ding-into-Mu, this history offers an exemplary case study in institutional economics. Nobel laureate Douglass North observed that institutions are the "rules of the game" -- they shape people's incentive structures and thereby influence economic behavior.[15]

Under the poll tax system, having more children meant a heavier tax burden, giving farmers an incentive to have fewer children or to conceal their population. Under the land tax system, population was no longer the basis for calculating tax obligations, and fertility decisions reverted to household considerations of labor demand. A seemingly minor institutional adjustment, amplified across tens of millions of households, ultimately produced dramatic differences in population scale.

6.2 Modern Implications: Tax Policy and Fertility Rates

Today, many countries face the challenge of low fertility rates, with governments introducing various pro-natalist policies -- birth subsidies, parental leave, childcare services, and more. However, the experience of Chinese tax history suggests that the more fundamental question may be whether the institutional environment is "fertility-friendly."

If the cost of raising children is too high (housing prices, education, healthcare) while the benefits (old-age security, household labor) are uncertain, rational families will naturally choose to have fewer or no children. This logic is not fundamentally different from that of the ancient poll tax -- the "tax" has merely shifted from state-collected levies to market-determined prices.

6.3 The Interaction Between Technology and Institutions

The story of the Fish Scale Registers also reveals the complex relationship between technology and institutions. The idea of "taxing by land" had been established as early as the Two-Tax System, but its true implementation required the maturation of land surveying technology. Without technical tools like the Fish Scale Registers, even the best-designed institutions would have remained on paper.

This holds implications for contemporary governance as well. Digital technology is reshaping governments' governing capacity -- from tax administration to social security, from environmental monitoring to pandemic response. Technology itself is neutral, but how it is embedded within institutional structures will determine governance outcomes and the direction of society.

VII. Conclusion: The Long Echo of Institutional Change

In 780 AD, Chancellor Yang Yan submitted his proposal for the Two-Tax System, and Emperor Dezong of Tang approved it. This reformer could not possibly have foreseen how profoundly this fiscal adjustment would alter China's demographic trajectory. From 50 million in the mid-Tang to 100 million in the Song, and then 400 million in the Qing -- each population breakthrough was intimately connected to the deepening of tax reform.

The lesson of history is this: the details of institutional design matter enormously. A seemingly technical choice of tax base -- whether to tax by person or by land -- can accumulate vastly different social outcomes over the course of centuries. This reminds us that in designing any institution, we must carefully consider how it will shape people's incentive structures, and how those incentives will amplify over time.

The scales of the Fish Scale Registers have long since yellowed, and the provisions of the Two-Tax System have long been buried in dusty archives. Yet the spirit of institutional innovation they represent, and their profound impact on society, deserve to be remembered forever.

References

  1. Tang Liu Dian (Compendium of Administrative Law of the Six Divisions of the Tang Bureaucracy), Vol. 3, "Ministry of Revenue." Beijing: Zhonghua Book Company, 1992. The basic provisions of the Zu-Yong-Diao system are recorded here.
  2. Sng, T.-H., & Moriguchi, C. (2014). "Asia's Little Divergence: State Capacity in China and Japan before 1850." Journal of Economic Growth, 19(4), 439-470. [DOI]
  3. Twitchett, D. (1970). Financial Administration under the T'ang Dynasty. Cambridge University Press. Chapter 2 provides a detailed discussion of Tang Dynasty population and finance.
  4. Chen Yinke (1954). "On the Foreign Generals and the Fubing System of the Tang Dynasty." In Collected Essays from the Jinmingguan, First Series. Shanghai: Shanghai Classics Publishing House.
  5. Jiu Tang Shu (Old Book of Tang), Vol. 118, "Biography of Yang Yan." Beijing: Zhonghua Book Company. The original documentation of the Two-Tax System. [ctext]
  6. Cen Zhongmian (1962). History of the Sui and Tang Dynasties. Beijing: Higher Education Press. Contains analysis of the relationship between the Two-Tax System and population.
  7. Bao Weimin (2001). Studies on Song Dynasty Local Fiscal History. Shanghai: Shanghai Classics Publishing House.
  8. Zhao Gang & Chen Zhongyi (1986). Essays on the History of Chinese Economic Institutions. Taipei: Linking Publishing Company. Contains systematic population estimates for successive dynasties.
  9. Huang, R. (1974). Taxation and Governmental Finance in Sixteenth-Century Ming China. Cambridge University Press.
  10. Liang Fangzhong (1980). The Tax and Corvee System of the Ming Dynasty. Beijing: Zhonghua Book Company. The authoritative study on Fish Scale Registers.
  11. Miyazaki Ichisada (1957). History of China. Tokyo: Iwanami Shoten. Contains in-depth analysis of Ming-Qing land systems.
  12. Veritable Records of the Qing Dynasty: Emperor Shengzu Ren, Vol. 249. The decree of the 51st year of Emperor Kangxi's reign.
  13. Ho Ping-ti (1959). Studies on the Population of China, 1368-1953. Taipei: Linking Publishing Company. Analysis of the social impact of the Ding-into-Mu reform.
  14. Cao Shuji (2000). Demographic History of China, Vol. 5: The Qing Period. Shanghai: Fudan University Press.
  15. North, D. C. (1990). Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance. Cambridge University Press. [DOI]
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